If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in several ways be about timing. The earlier the cost appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has recently turn into a big earner on their behalf. They have to accomplish this as they are only too aware that the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and will exploit any snippets of news that could give them a good edge. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be only one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is simply too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are willing to have a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This is clearly great news for that arb maker. This means that the maximum bets they are going to accept over a bet are many higher.
There are numerous varieties of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the first goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so forth. In fact anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, there are a lot of outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the chances consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer industry is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They will likely price the sport in their own country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers dedicated to the game. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This really is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their countries these are relying on third parties to collate information about their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic in terms of events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up and also the odds could easily get skewed in their favour as the weight of income is overly wagered in their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and by and large stick into it. Because of this a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or make an effort to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this type of were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they may be ‘guessing’ what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. They are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae however they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong and other firms can have a completely different take a look at the end result of any game. A totally different view will only result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are protected by many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This will however add a complication. Although quite easy for locating arbs, the mere simple fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the advantages and disadvantages with this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure area of betting and when someone was to check your account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different form of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be a problem as numerous different sports are ideal for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will also produce arbs and they are less likely to attract focus on you and also the utmost bets will be higher.
As before you are unable to control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your account. The point is that not lots of people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear the betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. When a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices because the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can serve as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer websites. Alternatively satellite television channels usually have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all simultaneously, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one which wont change the existing prices are the one that is about to therefore may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are more likely to appear.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total variety of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others did not. This can affect the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. In the event you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points to get a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say chances of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity involving the teams where case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet is not going to figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to find information being issued that will impact the total bookings bet. But a simple part of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The conclusion is not really to anticipate excessive sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards but it not so difficult to check the chances.